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Possible paths for a Trump nomination loss or win
It pains me to imagine a time when Donald Drumpf earns a Republican nomination. There are a number of ways he can get there, but there are a number of ways Marco Rubio can win the nod too. The Upshot...
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Super Tuesday simulation to show uncertainty
As we know, there are various outcomes during election season, with uncertainty in each round. The Upshot is currently using a simulation to show the expectations of tonight. These estimates, which...
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Balance the Trump and Cruz tax plans
The tax plans of Ted Cruz and Donald Trump might seem fine if you don’t think about the actual values. Tax cuts. Less government spending. But then it gets tricky when you look at what they’re actually...
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Track what your government representatives are doing for you
Taking over an old New York Times project, ProPublica re-launches Represent, which offers an app and an API to see what your local lawmakers have been doing on your behalf. Represent will show details...
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Grid map shows shifting states
You’re likely familiar with the state grid map form used these days. Instead of using geographic boundaries, you place states in a grid layout, giving an equal-sized cell to each state so that they all...
View ArticleStatistics lesson on polling
Nate Cohn for the Upshot provides a statistics lesson in the context of election forecasts and why they differ so much. [P]ollsters make a series of decisions when designing their survey, from...
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Higher turnout for midterm elections
Bloomberg charted voter turnout for the just past midterm elections, comparing 2018 against 2014. As you might expect, there are a lot of blue arrows pointed up and to the left. Turnout decreased in...
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Contrasting social media Democrats to real life
As many know (I hope), what we see on social media often doesn’t mirror real life. It’s a filtered and algorithmically-driven point of view. This grows problematic when people make decisions based...
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All the elections where you live
We tend to talk about elections as this uniform thing. People vote for some other people. But who we vote for, who we vote with, and when we vote for who varies depending on where you look. USAFacts...
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How you might vote based on what you like
By Angie Waller, this table shows how Facebook thinks you’ll vote based on what you like. It’s a straightforward view that’s fun to look at. In particular, I like the excluded audiences for certain...
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